TheLegendOfMart wrote: ↑April 27th, 2021, 12:55 amBatDan wrote: ↑April 26th, 2021, 7:13 pm If we want it to be a cultural hit..
I dunno if streaming’s the way to go.
If you step back and look.. Justice league and Godzilla seem to be yesterday’s news.
Ive notice a pattern that theres a big spike in popularity for about a week and then its forgotten and vanished from my feed.
This week mortal kombat is the big thing.
Weve been literaly living in a “flavor of the week” pattern with these streaming “hits”
In general, im not sure if thats good for films if filmmakers want their product to stick and not be bumped out too soon
No matter which way you try and paint it it's not going to make the kind of money Sony wants.
- We are in a pandemic.... even with the vaccine cinemas are never going to be at the same level they were before the pandemic hit.
- They are fighting an uphill battle. People hated ATC so they are reluctant to see it. Then you have the clowns that moaned they wanted the OG busters back in a sequel who are now complaining that the movie rehashes a lot of elements from the originals, then you have the people who are moaning because it has kids in the movie likening it to Stranger Things just because one kid from that show is in it.
- Finally China bans movies that has supernatural elements. China is a humongous market to lose out on.
Godzilla vs Kong for example that had a box office opening in China DOUBLED the domestic take and was more than EVERY OTHER box office it acually opened at COMBINED.
If they only open in the box office and China bans it then the movie is going to lose money guaranteed.
China does not ban movies that feature “supernatural elements”. That’s a misnomer. Marvel movies get released in China all the time and they have supernatural elements. They might ban a movie if it contains witchcraft, possessions and evil spirits. But there isn’t a blanket “no supernatural stuff policy”. China isn’t actually as big a market as some people think. Sure movies can do big numbers there but the amount that gets back to the studio is about 20%. Ghostbusters probably won’t open in China, but this idea that supernatural=banned from Chinese theatres just isn’t true.
I don’t know why you would think they’d lose money “guaranteed”. Things are starting to open back up again now. Keep in mind a lot of the movies that have been grossing over 20 million are movies that are also available to watch to 44 million HBO Max subscribers.
There are a lot more movies coming out between now & November.
Frankly I think the lede got buried this weekend with most people focusing on Mortal Kombat opening to decent numbers. But the real story is that some anime movie that had 1/10th of the marketing budget of Kombat debuted to just over 21 millions dollars. I had never heard of this franchise before and a 21 million opening during regular non Covid times would be incredible. Two movies grossing over 20 million with extremely limited capacity in some places, and theatre closed all together in others, is a good sign. Especially when one of those movies in rated R & the other is a pretty niche anime film that’s connected to a TV series.
You are right about this movie facing an uphill battle. But that’s always been the case. I’ve said this numerous times but it’s true, GB16’s stink is still on this franchise, like how those Terminator sequels stink was for the latest Terminator movie. and I’m not talking about the quality of the movie, I’m talking about how it complicates things for the average moviegoer. But that’s always been the case and the next trailer will have to do a lot of heavy lifting to make it clear this is a sequel to the GB movies from the 80s & not the one from a few years ago. I know a lot of people won’t and don’t agree with me here, but I think if GB16 had never happened, GBA, or whatever form GB3 might’ve taken, would’ve opened to a 100+ million at the box office or around the same figures as the Indy 4 opening in 2008. GB16 let a lot of the air out of the balloon. Before the pandemic my guess was for a 55-65 million opening depending on how they deal with OG cast in the marketing.
One benefit of a November opening is that for some reason movies that open during & around the holiday season tend to have much longer box office legs than movies released in the summer. Think of Jumanji a few years back or even Aquaman.
I can’t wait for that next trailer. We should be getting within the month I hope.